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Methodology to determine the optimal design speed in a High-Speed Line




                   Quantifying all these effects and integrate all of them in a complete economic analysis is a very
                   complex task that it has been broadly studied the last years. As a relevant work can be cited
                   (INFRAS/IWW., 2004). The methodology and monetary values provided in this study have been
                   used in order to determine the benefits in the study case proposed for this paper.

                              3.2.1      Study case: Effect of the commercial speed on demand revenues
                          and benefit

                   According  to  the  demand,  elasticities  for  journey  time  (commercial  speed)  determined  in
                   (González  Franco, 2015b) and  shown in  chapter  3,  the  relationship  between  demand  and
                   commercial  speed  and,  consequently,  the  relationship  between  revenues  and  benefits  and
                   commercial speed is estimated for the study case.
                   Figures below (Figure 3) show, for two different ticket prices (12c€/passenger-km and 20c€/
                   passenger-km)  the  influence  of  the  commercial  speed  on  the  demand,  revenues  and  social
                   benefit in the study case analysed (HS Madrid-Valencia).





































                             Figure 3. Relationship between demand, revenues and savings on external costs and commercial speed

                   According to the results obtained, the following can be highlighted:

                       •  Whatever  the  ticket  price is,  the  higher  the  commercial  speed  (or,  in  other  words,
                          reductions in the journey time), the greater the number of passengers transported, the
                          revenues and the savings in the external costs (benefits).
                       •  Finally, it is found that for low-ticket prices, whatever the commercial speed is, savings
                          in  external  cost  are  higher  than  incomes.  However,  in  case  of  high  tariffs  and  low
                          commercial speeds, revenues are lower than savings in external costs. The reason behind
                          this statement is that the demand gained by the high-speed train, with reference to
                          other transport modes, is not enough and lower than the revenues generated multiplying
                          the number of passengers by the price paid by them.


                   International Congress on High-speed Rail: Technologies and Long Term Impacts - Ciudad Real (Spain) - 25th anniversary Madrid-Sevilla corridor  537
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