Page 364 - 360.revista de Alta Velocidad - Nº 5
P. 364

Campos Zaldiernas, Javier. Díaz García, Sarai. Galán Alguacil, Álvaro. González Pérez, Javier.





                                                       Annual probability of     Economic     Economic risk

                         Failure mechanisms                    failure            impact
                                                                 (-)                (€)      (€/year)    (%)

                 Structural collapse of the culvert barrel    0.00842             136829      1151.5    49.3

                 Slope instability caused by afflux           0.00138              57312       78.8      3.4

                 Slope instability caused by leakage out of barrel  0.00013       7841 0       10.1      0.4


                 Slope instability caused by headwall collapse   0.00220           57308       125.9     5.4
                 Slope instability caused  by undermining  at
                 inlet our outlet                             0.00208              56788       118.3     5.1

                 Piping into culvert                          0.00264             117859       310.6    13.3

                 Piping on outside of culvert due to afflux   0.00004             112439        5.0      0.2

                 Piping on outside of culvert due to leakage   0.00171            117859       201.6     8.6
                 out of culvert
                 Erosion by overtopping flows                 0.00472              70461       332.4    14.2


                 Cross catchment flooding                     0.00032               524         0.2      0.1

                                 Table 1. Main results obtained: annual failure probability, economic impacts and risk.



                                                                                           INCIDENCE
                                 Incidence Risks factor/pathologies
                                                                                               (%)

                  Partial or total blockage of the culvert barrel                             34.50


                  Structural deterioration of the culvert barrel                               7.83

                  Structural deterioration of the culvert headwall or/and wingwalls           14.34


                  Evidences of substantial erosion at the culvert outlet or inlet (undermining)  29.60

                  Deficiencies found in the hydraulic capacity of the culvert                 13.73


                                      Table 2. Main results obtained: risk factors and pathologies observed.





                 Tables 1 and 2 show the statistics of the results obtained in the risk analysis performed in some
                 roadways in the province of Ciudad Real. Table 1 shows the mean values of probability, total
                 economic impact and annual risk of the ten failure mechanisms studied.



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